Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.047753 0.054716 0.061970 0.070058 0.078795 0.087918 0.098138
2025-03-16 0.033250 0.042769 0.053382 0.065943 0.080259 0.095934 0.114261
2025-03-23 0.026882 0.038217 0.051590 0.068172 0.087836 0.110095 0.136886
2025-03-30 0.022052 0.034450 0.049852 0.069734 0.094098 0.122419 0.157277
2025-04-06 0.019188 0.032566 0.049931 0.073092 0.102213 0.136755 0.179984
2025-04-13 0.015465 0.028887 0.047190 0.072473 0.105123 0.144651 0.194942
2025-04-20 0.014275 0.028558 0.048714 0.077218 0.114671 0.160609 0.219663
2025-04-27 0.011279 0.025038 0.045461 0.075318 0.115499 0.165659 0.231033
2025-05-04 0.010099 0.024178 0.045833 0.078212 0.122482 0.178378 0.251871
2025-05-11 0.008222 0.021825 0.043754 0.077500 0.124555 0.184805 0.264868
2025-05-18 0.007193 0.020785 0.043533 0.079321 0.129966 0.195483 0.283224
2025-05-25 0.006290 0.019818 0.043309 0.081055 0.135217 0.205955 0.301365
2025-06-01 0.004509 0.016798 0.039653 0.077784 0.133825 0.208216 0.309759
2025-06-08 0.003068 0.014034 0.036097 0.074429 0.132195 0.210156 0.317858
2025-06-15 0.002626 0.013540 0.036474 0.077178 0.139310 0.223865 0.341378
2025-06-22 0.002150 0.012792 0.036288 0.078980 0.145052 0.235773 0.362653
2025-06-29 0.001914 0.012665 0.037251 0.082650 0.153574 0.251537 0.389122
2025-07-06 0.001375 0.011318 0.035661 0.081992 0.155622 0.258428 0.403908
2025-07-13 0.001318 0.011653 0.037496 0.087127 0.166403 0.277439 0.434911
2025-07-20 0.000849 0.010094 0.035195 0.085075 0.166250 0.281265 0.445685
2025-07-27 0.000724 0.009938 0.035886 0.088204 0.174014 0.296176 0.471385
2025-08-03 0.000470 0.008880 0.034423 0.087434 0.175722 0.302574 0.485656
2025-08-10 0.000359 0.008513 0.034501 0.089401 0.181681 0.314999 0.508130